23 July 2025

Are we in an AI bubble? Someone else wondered about this, too. I've wondered about that myself. AI benchmark achievements have been remarkable, but really, would we be surprised if we developed a search algorithm that was able to retrieve things more efficiently than the old TfIdf or PageRank type algorithms. AI chatbots do seem to do much more, but ultimately that is how they're trained. We're slowly giving them more reasoning capacity to handle more complex problems, but they can't truly replace humans doing complex tasks just yet. Fact retrieval is one thing, but I am skeptical about decision-making. Plus, to approximate or surpass human thinking, we need datacenters that would need to be huge, but also have energy demands we couldn't possible meet for long.

Anthropic also posted results that suggest that too much thinking makes LLMs dumb. So they can overthink things, just like humans, I guess.

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Proton has developed a privacy-focused chatbot called Lumo. This chatbot uses open source LLMs, so everything can stay enclosed within their system. It can provide RAG if you turn on the Web Search tool. It was last trained in October 2023, however, so from then on, everything is web search.  And it will probably still be subject to hallucinations, like all models.

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Google's AI bot and OpenAI's bot scored gold medals at this year's International Math Olympiad. But the top scores still went to humans. That's good for now, I guess.

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Amazon buys AI wristband that listens to everything you say. Really, who would want something like this?

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I saw this about the unexpected brain boost that comes with muscle-building exercise. Then I was reminded of this post by Scott Alexander about what nootropics really worked, and which were just placebo. I was surprised that weightlifting scored so high. Only dextroamphetamine and amphetamine/dextroamphetamine were better.  Does muscle-building really work?

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Duh. Having a higher income boosts your chances of finding a romantic partner.  Heh, this is literally the only hope for less-than-handsome men. It's also probably a factor in the drop of global fertility – the income disparity has been increasing, especially in the U.S. Look at the Gini coefficient.
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More than half of adults admit to peeing in swimming pools. That's where the chlorine smell comes from. Pristine pool water shouldn't smell like that.

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Wow, you can have a kidney transplant and not have to take immunosuppressants. Injection of stem cells can induce immune tolerance.

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Oregon’s seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment declined by 4,300 jobs in June.  No surprise here. Business are closing or fleeing Oregon in droves, it seems. The government has relied too heavily on taxes and federal subsidies to keep the state running.

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Whoa, if this is true, the United States is giving out way too much welfare money. Eliminating the $200 billion spent on remittances would be great savings for the country – money that we shouldn't have to be spending.

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