9 October 2024

Another AI-based Nobel Prize.  This time in chemistry, for their work on AlphaFold2. Interesting how they divvied up the prize. Half went to David Baker, and the other half split between Dennis Hassbis and John Jumper.
I'm still waiting for the Nobel committee to recognize the LLM and transformer developers. They're really transforming the world.

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Daily Sceptic reports that Pfizer is apparently hiding a very concerning report about myocardial risk that develops after their mRNA vaccine. If you look at Interim Report 5, however, the data are not as alarming as what they make it sound. Here are the most egregious data:
For myocarditis within 21 days, the adjusted HRs were
0.94 (95% CI: 0.46, 1.94) in NHR,
1.23 (95% CI: 0.13, 11.84) in PHARMO,
3.64 (95% CI: 0.41, 32.53) in EpiChron,
1.05 (95% CI: 0.35, 3.16) in SIDIAP,
2.30 (95% CI: 0.94, 5.66) in CPRD Aurum.

For acute cardiovascular injury the adjusted HRs were
1.38 (95% CI: 0.73, 2.61) in Pedianet,
1.01 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.04) in NHR,
1.38 (95% CI: 1.31, 1.45) in PHARMO,
1.10 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.18) in EpiChron,
0.99 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.03) in SIDIAP,
1.23 (95% CI: 1.18, 1.27) in CPRD Aurum.

For arrhythmia the adjusted HRs were
1.75 (95% CI: 0.88, 3.49) in Pedianet,
1.03 (95% CI: 1, 1.05) in NHR,
1.36 (95% CI: 1.29, 1.44) in PHARMO,
1.12 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.21) in EpiChron,
0.99 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.03) in SIDIAP,
1.27 (95% CI: 1.21, 1.33) in CPRD Aurum.
HR is the hazard ratio and the 95% CI is the confidence interval.  For myocarditis, and cardiovascular injury, although the hazard ratios are greater than 1.0 in several cases, the confidence interval is wide, and the lower value is less than 1, so the values don't reach statistical significance. However, for arrythmias, the confidence values are nearly all greater than 1. So this deserves follow-up.

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HOB thinks Peter Todd is Satoshi Nakamoto.  The claim seems to be just based on a thread in a discussion board where they think Peter forgot to cloak his identity in a post. Seems weak to me. I'm really amazed that Satoshi has managed to keep his/her identity safe all these years.

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Oregon in the news again. The number of illegal aliens registered to vote is greater than 1500. The election system is so corrupted, and yet Oregon doesn't want to just go back to paper ballots filled out in-person again. Where you get the results the same day. Much harder to cheat that way.
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Oregon prescribed more puberty-blockers than the California. 613% more per capita. Holy crap. And "the majority of those charges came from two facilities: Legacy Good Samaritan Medical Facility and Legacy Emanuel Medical Center."

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Must see video on climate change.  Interesting theory, that's it's warming that has increased CO2 levels, not the other way around.


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