16 October 2024

Ward Christensen passed away recently. He co-invented the BBS system that many a nerd, including myself, used to network with other geeks, back in the heyday of Usenet. When we used XMODEM (invented by Christensen), then YMODEM and then ZMODEM.  The inventor of ZMODEM (Chuck Forsberg) lived on Sauvie Island. Those were good times.

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If you ever wanted to build your own web browser, you must read this. It's so much more complicated now, with all the standards you must observe and adhere to.
And speaking of web browser, Google Chrome is disabling UBlock Origin.  I recall when much protest was raised about this last year, when Google was planning to make this change. Since the chatter died down, I assumed Google changed their mind. Nope. They just waited.

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Breast cancer has been largely unresponsive to immunotherapies, except for triple-negative breast cancer. But there may be a breakthrough using "proteolysis targeting chimera (PROTAC) to successfully destroy RIPK1 in cancer cells".  "Getting rid of RIPK1 triggers immunogenic cell death and mobilizes the immune system to destroy any remaining cancer cells that have evaded treatment or become resistant to drugs."  Still sounds early in the development process, and the work is still in vitro and not a clinical study. Still, it's promising.

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1300 to be laid off from Intel jst before the holidays.  And ASML isn't having a good time either. Not so rosy in Silicon Forest.

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Gordon Sondland schools Morning Edition's Steve Inskeep about the state of Portland.  Inskeep apparently was mollified by an unemployment figure of 4%, up from 3.7% last year, even though we all know you have to be looking for a job to be considered unemployed. The city is full of people who are far from looking for anything except their next hit. And here's a report that Oregon is #4 on the list of states that give out the most SNAP benefits. We're a homeless magnet.

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Sad newsSahomi Tachibana passed away last Thursday, just 6 months from her 100th birthday.  She was a very sweet person, like a spirit from a different time. She will be missed.
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15 October 2024

Starbucks has turned into a teen hangout. Sort the modern version of the old malt shop of the fifties and sixties. I stopped going to Starbucks a long time ago, even though I still drink coffee. It used to be the place to go for meetings and nice conversations with friends. Now, they're just installments at Safeway. And the ones with sit-down tables look like McDonalds. This isn't the Starbucks of when the dotcom era was still booming.

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Gravity can exist without mass?  Things can have negative mass? That's someone's theory.

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Oregon in the news. A company (NW Natural) is being sued because they're supposedly responsible for the heat dome of 2021. Well, Cliff Mass would differ with that belief. But this is Oregon, where lefties reign, so the climate change religion is believed so strongly. Funny, we haven't had a heat dome since then. Is climate change improving, then? 

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Nice review on the privacy policies of VPNs. I'm surprised about Mullvad and Surfshark, that the techie privacy sites tout.  I already knew that ExpressVPN and NordVPN were not perfect. Nice to know that my VPN has the top rating.

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As if you didn't knowLLMs don't really understand math. They just provide you with what looks like it could be the correct answer. Some of them still provide convincing answers, though.

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These three articles came out today:
Worldwide efforts to promote having more babies isn't working.  The first comment says it all: "More legalised abortions as a method of birth control, more lesbian and gay relationships; what did you all think was going to happen for the 21st century especially?"

Human Lifespan Might Be About to Hit a Ceiling, Experts Say.  Looks like human lifespan extension will hit a plateau.

Human age reversal: Fact or fiction?  Maybe we can reverse aging. And if that happens, perhaps it would be good to have more babies.  It would be great to reverse some of the damaging effects of aging, for sure.

Then there's this graph. Not all countries are experiencing a decline in birth rates. What will this mean for global demographics?
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14 October 2024

Psilocybin mushrooms are getting more potent. You knew the druggies weren't going to be satisfied with the status quo. And these aren't even legal yet. But who cares, right? Just what American needs right now.

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The mediocre men problem. Nobody can be great anymore.  Mediocre men are finding out that it doesn't pay to stay mediocre anymore. "Employers are scared of bad press, bad employee reviews (on online job sites), or being sued, so they have to be extremely risk averse and impersonal in hiring." Everyone is afraid now. 

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Portland pushes back on progressive policies. Too late, folks. And probably no one will do what needs to be done. Portland is too far gone, and the new governing structure will make sure no one is to blame, and no one takes ownership of Portland's problems. Heck, we don't have a mayor that has power to decide things anymore.

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Over half of Oregon dentists don't take Oregon Health Plan insurance now.  It's so lousy, and not worth the paperwork.

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There's an article here about America's culture of failure, and how people are incompetent in basic tasks.  Well, someone in the Oregon government tried to hire on competency, and it cost him.  The Oregon Forestry Service tried to hire on merit, and got put on leave, because he wasn't mindful enough of diversity and equity BS that Oregon requires.  And apparently he made it so that employees there "couldn’t freely have 'conversations around pronouns'".  This is why Oregon fails.

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James Cameron will take a position on the board of an AI company.
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13 October 2024

Drinking alcohol decreases the body's GLP-1 activity. This is why drinking can make you hungry.  And obese.

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Millennials are likely to spend on frivolous things, because it makes them feel good, and mental health is what's most important to them.  Gotta understand how they think. So different from youth from years gone by. Everyone is so fragile.

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People proficient in math were able to win a Texas lottery.  Love the comment about how officials thought that it was the math guys who were taking advantage of lower income people who play the lottery.  No self-awareness.

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Finally!  Stanford University is not Columbia. You act like an activist jerk, you get slapped with felony charges. Bravo, Stanford. Now, let's hope that some judge doesn't just drop charges.

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Oregon's data centers are consuming energy like crazy, and taxpayers will foot the bill. This is not fair because what ever benefits we get from the data centers are things we'll be paying for anyway.

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12 October 2024

The Illusion of Moral Decline. The thesis of this article is "that people’s reports of the morality of their contemporaries have not declined over time, suggesting that the perception of moral decline is an illusion".  In other words, the world may seem like it's going to hell in a handbasket, but it's really not.  The authors concluded this by doing keyword-term searches of the Roper Center for Public Opinion iPoll Database, and manually searched the databases of the General Social Survey, Pew Research Center, Gallup, the American National Election Studies, the World Values Survey, the European Social Survey and the European Values Survey.  Their conclusion is that people have always thought that things were getting worse.  But that doesn't mean it isn't.

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Investing in the stock market won't get you rich. It'll just help you preserve wealth. To be rich, other than inheriting it, you need to be a business owner of some kind. Even Warren Buffett evolved from just being a shrewd investor, to owning a company that purchased businesses.

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Tina Kotek wants to turn good farmland into chip fabs.  And local farmers are protesting. I don't see why Hillsboro has to be the site of chip fabs. There must be other places in the area in which chip fabs could be built without ruining the rural bucolic feel of Hillsboro, and turning it into an industrial sprawl. 

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83% of household shop on Amazon now.

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What are the safest cities in America? According to WalletHub, Salem and Vancouver, WA are OK.  But not Portland, OR. Portland, ME is OK, though.  Spokane, WA isn't too bad, but stay away from Seattle and Tacoma.

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Who would'a thought?  Bias found when drug manufacturers fund clinical trials.  No surprises. Think about the biases associated with the COVID-19 vax. 

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How I animate 3Blue1Brown. Wow, this is a great peek into how Grant Sanderson created his masterpiece math animation software. I didn't realize it was written in good old Python. 

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Think you're always right? You may be wrong. It's always good to leave yourself some wiggle room, because you never know. If someone who ordinarily is a good thinker but supports ideas you don't agree with, try to understand what made that person think so differently.

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11 October 2024

Very interesting study, although it was just done on one subject.  Researchers found that factors such as decreased or fragmented sleep had negative effects on memory and brain connectivity that lasted two weeks. Also, physical activity helped to improve memory and brain connectivity.

Firstly, results from sleep studies suggest that the amount of accumulated awake time is associated with the performance in attentional tasks, thus making attentional maintenance more variable and inconsistent. Secondly, such variability is manifested in errors of omission (i.e., failure to respond in a timely manner or attention lapses) and errors of commission (i.e., response to stimuli that are not present). These errors can be detected by specialized, reliable, and valid tests such as the Psychomotor Vigilance Test which is simple enough to avoid learning effects and is sensitive to sleep loss. Thirdly, brain studies have shown that sleep deprivation (SD) is positively correlated with decreased activity in the prefrontal cortex (PFC), visual, parietal, and premotor areas during attention tasks.

Firstly, sleep and physical activity are known to affect working memory. While sleep deprivation causes deficits in working memory performance, physical activity improves working memory function.

Regression models show diverse associations of external factors such as sleep, activity, mood, and physiology with brain network dynamics in the default mode, fronto-parietal, cingulo-opercular, and somatomotor networks. Time-lagged cross-correlation analyses suggest that the associations between brain connectivity and these external factors extend beyond the previous day, spanning up to 15 days in the past, possibly reflecting a more prolonged and sustained relationship between external factors and neural processes.

Fragmented sleep increases subjective fatigue and deteriorates inhibition, even when the total sleep duration remains unchanged. Therefore, it is not surprising that supporting our hypotheses, our results show that restlessness is strongly associated with changes in brain connectivity during sustained attention tasks. Indeed, repeated disruptions in sleep are known to progressively reduce attention, with vigilant attention deficits building up across consecutive days of sleep restriction in a dose-dependent manner.

Sleep also plays a crucial role in efficient functioning of working memory. We observed that longer sleep and more interruptions during sleep are associated with greater integration of the DMN and FPN. However, the effect of sleep duration on working memory does not seem to occur immediately but is observed after a 2-week delay.

I never understood why in medical internships, doctors on call were forced to function and make critical decisions while sleep-deprived.  Sleep deprivation causes cortical thinning. The doctors' precious brains were being destroyed.

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How to stop advertisers from tracking your teen across the Internet.  Simple – get them an iPhone.

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I love this advice that Florida gave to EV owners affected by the hurricane floods:
Park your EV 50 feet away from any structure or other vehicle. Storm surge can harm the battery and increase fire risk.
Yeah, right!

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Pharmacy Benefit Managers are the major reason why healthcare is so expensive. Look how much money they got for themselves.
According to the data published by the Oregon Department of Financial Regulation, 18 PBMs received $287,583,732.64 in rebates and payments from manufacturers last year.

A majority of the payments, $283,727,097.34, went to insurance companies — while $2,236,217.76 (0.8%) were passed on to consumers. The managers retained the remaining funds (99.2%) as revenue.
As middlemen providing no real value to consumers, they insert themselves between the doctor and the patient and skim off money...lots of money.

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Hemophilia B can now be treated with a one-weekly injection. It's the first antitissue-factor pathway inhibitor. Pfizer already secured approval for Beqvez, a one-time gene therapy for patients with hemophilia B. But some may prefer not to go this route.

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Interesting infographic about the different concerns that Republicans have compared with Democrats:
It's interesting that Democrats claim to care about democracy, when so much of what they clamor for (removal of free speech, Second Amendment rights, packing the Supreme Court with judges who promote their ideology when events don't happen their way, eliminating the Electoral College, restricting a presidential candidate to one of their elite's choosing, rather than a democratically elected one) is not imbued with democracy.

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This is what happened when Norway increased taxes, no doubt trying to make their millionaires and billionaires pay their "fair share":
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Things aren't looking good for Hawaii. This excerpt is from a newsletter I get from the Stott Real Estate property management company. Take a look:
In retrospect, Gov. Ige really destroyed the state with his policies. And Hawaii will still vote for the same politicians, no matter what. What will it take for those people to learn?

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10 October 2024

AI can do sentiment analysis on text, and when they read doctors' chart notes, they saw a lot of burnout. When doctors do notes, especially when they know that patients can read them, they often become very terse and use a lot of abbreviations and jargon, contrary to what they are told. Their main priority is not to communicate with patients, but to get the work done, and make sure that it captures all the necessary components to justify the E/M code for billing. Sorry that it sounds like burnout. Maybe it is.

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Air-gapping isn't guaranteed to be safe anymore.  The vulnerability is in the hidden apps on USB drives that get inserted.

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What kind of childhood increases the likelihood of winning the Nobel Prize?  Clearly there are factors that cannot be discounted. Having a wealthy businessman father really improves your odds.
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Ugh. A robotic finger might do your next rectal exam. But at least a human doctor wears clean gloves. Will it work to cover a robotic finger with something similar, or will it have to be uncovered to preserve sensitivity? Then you really have to depend on good sterilization.

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Seattle Children's Hospital is among the nation's top child genital mutilation centers. Remember when we used to condemn genital mutilation when other primitive cultures did it?  Can't wait for this national insanity to pass. No wonder many people don't trust the medical establishment anymore.  How did they buy into this crap?

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There's a lot of press about Comet Tsuchinshan, but not much about Comet ATLAS (C/2024 S1) which looks to be way brighter. And it'll be later this month, around Halloween.

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New report just dropped. The homeless population is definitely on the rise.  Due largely to the Biden-Harris policies.
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Lars Larson nails it on the fraud generated by the motor-voter law in Oregon.  The public had no idea until a Chicago activist group discovered the problem. Now more illegality has been discovered.  But we really don't know how pervasive the problem is.

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9 October 2024

Another AI-based Nobel Prize.  This time in chemistry, for their work on AlphaFold2. Interesting how they divvied up the prize. Half went to David Baker, and the other half split between Dennis Hassbis and John Jumper.
I'm still waiting for the Nobel committee to recognize the LLM and transformer developers. They're really transforming the world.

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Daily Sceptic reports that Pfizer is apparently hiding a very concerning report about myocardial risk that develops after their mRNA vaccine. If you look at Interim Report 5, however, the data are not as alarming as what they make it sound. Here are the most egregious data:
For myocarditis within 21 days, the adjusted HRs were
0.94 (95% CI: 0.46, 1.94) in NHR,
1.23 (95% CI: 0.13, 11.84) in PHARMO,
3.64 (95% CI: 0.41, 32.53) in EpiChron,
1.05 (95% CI: 0.35, 3.16) in SIDIAP,
2.30 (95% CI: 0.94, 5.66) in CPRD Aurum.

For acute cardiovascular injury the adjusted HRs were
1.38 (95% CI: 0.73, 2.61) in Pedianet,
1.01 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.04) in NHR,
1.38 (95% CI: 1.31, 1.45) in PHARMO,
1.10 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.18) in EpiChron,
0.99 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.03) in SIDIAP,
1.23 (95% CI: 1.18, 1.27) in CPRD Aurum.

For arrhythmia the adjusted HRs were
1.75 (95% CI: 0.88, 3.49) in Pedianet,
1.03 (95% CI: 1, 1.05) in NHR,
1.36 (95% CI: 1.29, 1.44) in PHARMO,
1.12 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.21) in EpiChron,
0.99 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.03) in SIDIAP,
1.27 (95% CI: 1.21, 1.33) in CPRD Aurum.
HR is the hazard ratio and the 95% CI is the confidence interval.  For myocarditis, and cardiovascular injury, although the hazard ratios are greater than 1.0 in several cases, the confidence interval is wide, and the lower value is less than 1, so the values don't reach statistical significance. However, for arrythmias, the confidence values are nearly all greater than 1. So this deserves follow-up.

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HOB thinks Peter Todd is Satoshi Nakamoto.  The claim seems to be just based on a thread in a discussion board where they think Peter forgot to cloak his identity in a post. Seems weak to me. I'm really amazed that Satoshi has managed to keep his/her identity safe all these years.

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Oregon in the news again. The number of illegal aliens registered to vote is greater than 1500. The election system is so corrupted, and yet Oregon doesn't want to just go back to paper ballots filled out in-person again. Where you get the results the same day. Much harder to cheat that way.
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Oregon prescribed more puberty-blockers than the California. 613% more per capita. Holy crap. And "the majority of those charges came from two facilities: Legacy Good Samaritan Medical Facility and Legacy Emanuel Medical Center."

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Must see video on climate change.  Interesting theory, that's it's warming that has increased CO2 levels, not the other way around.


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8 October 2024

Someone found unseen Thunderbirds film footage in a garden shed.  I watched Thunderbirds as a kid, and would love to see newer episodes. FAB!

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What happens to medical debt when a hospital is acquired by private equity? See for yourself in this interactive infographic.

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Geoffrey Hinton and John Hopfield were awarded the Nobel Prize in Physics for their work in pioneering neural networks.  That's fine, but there should be a prize for the Attention is all you need team.  They transformed the world, too.  Hinton is to the Internet like Transformers are to the World Wide Web. Come to think of it, why hasn't Tim Berners-Lee gotten the Nobel Prize?

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Face Poke.  This is fun to play around with

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Cannabidiol (CBD) can cause liver injury.

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With the Chagos Islands being handed over to Mauritanius, there goes the beloved .io to-level domain.  I never liked it, because you couldn't mask your registration.  But it was a favorite of geeks. 

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OpenAI's o1 model is apparently pretty impressive.  I've used the preview version, and it is indeed pretty good, sometimes finding code solutions were Claude 3.5 Sonnet threw up its hands.

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Why is the Philippines still poor?


Contrast with the approach taken by Singapore. Make note that in Singapore, not just anyone can run for political office. You must be excellent.  In the Philippines, you just need to be well-known, and you will be voted in again, over and over.  This is much like what's going on in Hawaii, and to some extent Oregon and California.  We have term limits on the Presidency, but not so in other elections, and I think we should.  You can't trust voters to be smart enough to know. 

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7 October 2024

Starlink connects to cell phones, agnostic to platform. This is even better than Iridium phones, because there are more Starlink satellites than Iridium satellites.  Even more than the GlobalStar satellites that Apple iPhones use.

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Why would anyone want to buy a Google phone? It tracks your movements every 15 minutes even if you have GPS tracking disabled. It's like those crosswalk buttons – they don't actually do anything; just a button you can push. And it constantly checks to see if it can download new assets. What a security nightmare!

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