13 May 2023

7 ways Multnomah and Portland are wasting your tax dollars

#1. $18,000 of tax dollars to send Multnomah and Portland politicians to Europe for a meeting (Willamette Week 6/30/22).

#2. Multnomah bought 22,700 brand new tents and 69,514 brand new tarps to lavish on the homeless. That is nearly five free tents/tarps per homeless person. (KGW-TV 12/7/22)

#3. Multnomah County gave out $500 cash loaded debit cards to the homeless. No wonder homeless grew 22% in Oregon while it only grew .3% nationwide (OPB 12/24/23).

#4. Portland ended up with a $62 million projected budget surplus in 2021 and $35 million surplus in 2022. Where did this near $100 million tax surplus go? (Oregonian 10/8/21, Willamette Week 5/6/2022).

#5. Portland unloaded millions of city taxpayer dollars in grants only available to private business marijuana shops. This happened as police were defunded, 911 calls hit record delays, street trash was left to expand into mountain-sized problems and pot holes remained unfixed.

#6. Over $85 million of tax dollars and government help for a private (yes, private) luxury Portland hotel that lasted about one year before facing a financial crisis and being bought out (Willamette Week 4/1/20).

#7. Portland gave out $3 million in cash loaded $364 debit cards to random strangers with the promise that they would use it for personal internet expenses. No record of who used it or how it was spent. One person alone took home 6 debit cards. (KGW 10/21/21)

And of course, there's another capital gains tax on the way.

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This is why I don't use Windows anymore.  How to lose your work using Undo Copy in Windows

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Why Conscious AI Is a Bad, Bad Idea
There are two main reasons why creating artificial consciousness, whether deliberately or inadvertently, is a very bad idea. The first is that it may endow AI systems with new powers and capabilities that could wreak havoc if not properly designed and regulated. Ensuring that AI systems act in ways compatible with well-specified human values is hard enough as things are. With conscious AI, it gets a lot more challenging, since these systems will have their own interests rather than just the interests humans give them.
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What about humans?  Fruits have now become so sweet that they are no longer suitable to give to zoo animals. 

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How to select the seller that will likely provide the best satisfactionThis is old news, but I just found out about it.  How do you square a good Amazon rating with the number of reviews?  It's an easy trick to perform, and I'll have to give it a shot next time.
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"Many of the tasks in white-collar land will look very different in the next five to 10 years"
That's an understatement. But at least tech workers seem to be landing on their feet. 

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Why is American medical care so expensive?  It may be all the administrative costs.  Yet another argument against government-controlled medicine, certainly when American politicians run it.

Speaking of healthcare, Oregon is short on pathologists, so bodies needing autopsies are stacking up.  They're thinking of letting assistants and nurse practitioners do it.  Well, they may not be easy to find either.  Due to government regulations, many people quit healthcare during the pandemic.  To ensure adequate staffing, existing and new personnel demanded to get paid more, which increased expenses for hospitals.  Oregon legislators didn't like that, and threatened to put these hospitals and medical providers on an "improvement plan" and threaten them with penalties.  Well that's not working.  So now they're going to make some exceptions with "front-line workers" who won't count towards that spending cap.  Because adding to the misery isn't going to work

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Is this how telemedicine works in Portland?  Caught on a Tri-Met ride.  It's so disgusting, I'll only post the link.  Too nasty to post the video itself. 

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Top 10 A.I. prompts to finish your work in seconds.

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ChatGPT just killed off Chegg, the homework-helping website service.   Yikes.  Who's next?

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12 May 2023

After 20 Years as a Prosecutor in Illinois, I Quit.  It's happening.  Oregon is already short of public defenders, and supposedly this is one of the reasons those charged with crimes are set free.

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In 2021, the Washington State Supreme Court invalidated the primary criminal drug possession statute in a case called State v. Blake. This decision effectively legalized the possession of hard drugs, including methamphetamines, fentanyl, cocaine, and heroin. The Legislature, at the time, approved a bill to make possession of hard drugs a misdemeanor after two pre-arrest “referrals.” Since 2021, the open use of hard drugs has significantly increased across the state, sparking demands for change from law enforcement, counties, and cities.

During this year’s legislative session, the legislature debated a bill, SB 5536, attempting to rectify the consequences of Blake. …Some Democrats voted against the bill, expressing the opposite view: that punishment for substance abuse is inherently inhumane.

You may have seen in the news that some cities, like the Bellingham City Council, have passed ordinances making public drug use an arrestable offense in response to Blake and growing concerns about drug use and crime in urban areas. If SB 5536 is passed by the full House of Representatives and signed by the governor, cities would be prevented from taking their own steps to address open drug abuse in their streets.
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Boring Report is an interesting idea, but I don't want to read all my news on the phone.

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Interesting solution to the debt ceiling problem.  I agree that it won't happen, though.  And you can't pull this trick over and over.  Hey, let's ask Zelensky if he could float us a loan!  Things are so out of hand now.
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Some good and bad news for breast cancer patients.  The FDA approved a new drug, Veozah (fezolinetant), to treat moderate to severe hot flashes.  Common side-effects: abdominal pain, diarrhea, insomnia, back pain, hot flush and elevated hepatic transaminases.  But there is a shortage of doxorubicin, the backbone of adjuvant chemotherapy regimens for breast cancer.  Many other drugs are getting to be more difficult to obtain.

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If not for A.I., the S&P500 would have been down 2% instead of up 8%.  But the underlying reason for the increase is that companies are planning on improving their margins, eliminating hundreds of millions of jobs, lowering expenses.  This is not a time for people to strike for higher wages.
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11 May 2023

Oregon finally drops the requirements that healthcare workers be vaccinated against SARS-CoV2.  A little late, eh?

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The Oregon legislature wants to increase their pay.  It's been said that the founding fathers probably never envisioned that people would actually make politics a career.  Selecting for people of means to serve in the legislature will probably select for those that are already accomplished and know what it takes to succeed in society.  This will screen out those who think that they can magically legislate wealth or some other wishful thinking, to the detriment of others who live in the real world.  I would support a salary increase if it came with term limits.

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What?  Oregon is one of five states that allows for unlimited campaign contributions?  Boy, I'd bet if the Republicans were in control, the Dems would make changing this a top priority. 

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Poor Portland residentsTaxes are already up 32% from 2019, and yet they are facing a new capital gains tax.  With all the crime and visual blight, why would anyone want to live there?

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Not all brains age the sameThere's something about the Tsimane.
When compared to similar data taken from the US and Europe, the Tsimane fare much better, especially in old age. Tsimane brains lose about 2.3 percent of their volume per decade, compared with around 2.8 percent for the Moseten and about 3.5 percent for industrialized populations. For septuagenarians and older, the difference nearly doubled.

Superaging studies also suggest that being social, happy, and exercising your mind all play a role in keeping the brain healthy.
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More gems from the James Webb Telescope.  It turns out that Fomalhaut is not really a star, but is more like a bright galaxy. 
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Been wondering about that tooHow do you get a LLM model to untrain itself on something?  On OpenAI, there is a form you can fill out to remove personal data from their trained model.  Some say that this really can't be done.  Doing this is apparently an area of active research. 

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Can't get a job because you enjoy smoking doobies?  Fear not, Gov. Jay Inslee's got you covered.

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Truly amazing.  If you understand the basics of coding but don't have enough knowledge to code websites or mobile apps, fear not - A.I. will give you that power
With the support of GPT-4, I feel unstoppable. The overnight surge in productivity is intoxicating, not for making money or starting a business, but for the sheer joy of continuously creating ideas from my mind, which feels like happiness.
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WTF?  The FDA is considering releasing birth control pills for over-the-counter access.  So first they conducted a test.  Whoever oversaw this test didn't do a good job:

Several participants in a study designed to simulate over-the-counter use of Perrigo's drug reported taking dozens or even hundreds more pills than they were dispensed to take

"This finding of improbable dosing in this study is really quite extraordinary. This is not something we see in a typical actual use study. And the results have to be incredibly extreme to show up in this kind of a study," the FDA's Theresa Michelle told the panel.

Almost a third of study participants reported taking far more tablets than they were supposed to receive, a result that the FDA worried cast doubt over the validity of all of the results from the study by Perrigo's contractor.

Are these people still alive?

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Gene therapy for hearing loss.  Scientists Regenerate Hair Cells that Enable Hearing.  Cool.

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10 May 2023

South Korea's moon rover is sending pictures back, and there's nary a mention in the news media.  Great to see another country join the club.

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Newsom chickens outCalifornia's governor doesn't want to sign the reparations bill.  Because "dealing with that legacy is about much more than cash payments".  Sure.  I think California should let have let it pass, don't you?
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We're in for it, folksTitle 42 expires tomorrow
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Nice post on the equity cartoons we've seen. 
This is how it always ends up.  You may take care of the first generation, but there's always the kids who need some "equity" help, too.  Meanwhile, other Democrats are working on tearing down the fence, so everyone will storm the field, and there will be no game.

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I haven't been watching Rick Santelli lately.  When he shines, he shines!
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Another sign of the decline.  Delta Airlines is looking to get out of offering a non-stop flight to Tokyo.  There are several ways to slice this situation.  Maybe the Japanese don't feel a need to travel to Oregon anymore, as they once did.  Portland's reputation has also reached Asia by now.  This drives the economics of needing to allocate flights to a little-used route.  There's also declining tourist trade to Hawaii from Japan, probably due to inertia from all those COVID restrictions and the ban on temporary vacation rentals, and maybe the Japanese economy. 

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He's never going to live this down.
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While fast-food workers were striking for higher minimum wage, management was looking into options.  Now Wendy's is the first using A.I. Chat order-takers instead of human workers.
 
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9 May 2023

Last thing humanity needs.  A vaccine is out that effectively sterilizes women.  It induces an immune response to hCG, which could last indefinitely.  Although there could be appropriate indicates to render someone incapable of pregnancy, taking an immune approach to this problem seems fraught with hazard.  It will likely be applied to third-world countries or countries like India, rather than Europe, Eastern Asia, or North America.

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Amazing statistic!
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8 May 2023

How do you square these two articles?

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It's droll when the Oregon Legislature pretends to care about the environment and ban "forever chemicals" in plastics.  Meanwhile the City of Portland is filled with trash and all the attended disease and vermin.  It's just virtue signaling.

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Is Portland past the point of no return?  Empty storefronts remain common in downtown Portland, with no sign of a comeback.

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Amazing.  There's some hoopla regarding the Code Interpreter plug-in for ChatGPT.  You can do amazing stuff with it.  Maybe data analysts might find their line of work greatly squeezed

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7 May 2023

More insightful A.I. commentary:

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    Mental health crisis in teensThree regional school districts are suing social media for a mental health crisis in teens.  I think this is a little misplaced, but one must agree that giving young kids a platform where they can spout opinions and crazy stuff online, which is likely to be recorded forever and may come to haunt them later on is like offering cigarettes to youth.  Few know how to use social media responsibly and errors are forever.  Those who come to realize this can be severely depressed due to online incidents.

    Related to this is the desire to facilitate transgender surgery for gender dysphoric youths, thinking that this will help.  The passage of HB 2002-B is truly a sad day for Oregon.  Families will be destroyed.  And studies have shown that after genital-mutilating surgery, the use of psychoactive medications actually increases, not decreases.  Once you cut body parts off, there is no satisfactory reversal.

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    In Hawaii, residents of Molokai and Lanai are dependent on one tiny airline service - Mokulele Airlines.  Holy crap, this is crazy.  Given the poor track record of businesses in Hawaii, I fear for these guys.  Sounds like service is already spotty.

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    Awesome!  Employees for the journal Neuroimage at at Elsevier are walking out to protest unreasonable publishing fees.  It's heartening to see people standing up for scientists.  Bravo!

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    This is just outrageous.  Money given to agencies just enables drug abusers and contribute to the ongoing decay of Portland.  No, Measure 110 will not work "eventually".  The agencies just view this as a job — they don't want their employment to go away.  Agency workers are content doing this day in and day out.


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    6 May 2023

    So true!

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    Hospitals will have to eat the cost.  It is projected that by 2024, a third of the uninsured will be non-citizens.  They will go to the local emergency departments, of course, and can't be turned away.  They may be hospitalized.  And the costs will be borne by the hospital, passed down to patients with insurance when possible.  Ultimately, we all pay.
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    And no one will be fired for thisOregon DHS mistakenly sent out $1.46 miilion worth of pandemic EBT cards to those who weren't eligible, and this is the second time they've made a mistake like this.  But there will be no accountability for this.  They'll just raise taxes.  That's why this kind of stuff needs to come out of charity, not taxes.  Less waste, more accountability, and more appreciation by recipients.

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    The stock market surged yesterday because of what was felt to be a favorable jobs report.  I suspect that this is the truth the underlies it.

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    Woke is infiltrating medicine.  The NEJM featured an editorial written by people in the Univ of California system, that advocates for segregated learning.  They call the segregated groups RAGCs. 
    RAGCs are facilitated sessions involving participants grouped according to self-identified racial or ethnic identity to support integration of antiracism curricula into clinical practice.
    With medical activists spouting opinions (often outside their expertise), like climate change, gender dysphoria and gun control, we're seeing the decline of medicine as the field goes woke.  Medicine was better when it wasn't so "inclusive" for the sake of diversity itself.  The progressive foray into diversity has failed. 
     
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    In the upcoming debt-ceiling fight, Democrats are crying out that the Republicans are going to slash funds for education.  There's a lot of fat to trim from the budget such as this.  Can't believe the waste we're funding.  When it comes to spending the taxpayer's money, politicians seem not to bother with things like making sure the money will be well-spent.  They just want to take taxpayer money.  Case in point:

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    Man, that's a LOT of fentanyl.  And I'd bet he's just one of many
     
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    5 May 2023

    Seems like everyone's got an opinion about the impact of A.I.  Here are some recent ones that I thought were worth sharing:

    There's also Rick Beato's insight on the impact to the music industry:


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    It's not just myocarditis, blood clots and adult sudden onset death syndrome that is becoming more common  Now people are reporting an increase in young adult colorectal cancer, and Parkinson's disease.  What's going on?

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    Appalling!  So it seems that someone in Twitter can fabricate a false account with your name on it, and send the incriminating "evidence" to the Feds for investigation.  Not only that, but the DOJ/FBI have "direct administrative level backdoors into all social media platforms".  This is East Germany kind of stuff, people.

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    4 May 2023

    One of the most unreported news items.  De-dollarization is happening at a stunning pace.  It's been about 80 years since Bretton Woods, so I don't think most people realize what this will mean.  We just haven't experienced anything like this in our lifetime.  Already, half of America's banks are a bank-run away from being insolventPacWest and other regional banks are plummeting this morning.  The stock market is down, but not as low as I would expect it to be.  Why not?  With rates like this, why should you keep your money in a regional bank anyway?
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    How the Unvaccinated got it right.  We were just paying attention, that's all.  Just seeing things like how there is no science/data behind the CDC's new recommendation that one shot of the bivalent jab is sufficient.  It's been most all made up.

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    Portland business owners frustrated over mounting taxes in the city.  And the crime, too.  Time to leave the city.

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    This is great!  Republican senators freeze legislative business by walking out.  Thanks to a quirk in 19th century Oregon law, they can do this, and prevent all the crazy bills from passing.  Whooh!  Thank goodness there's a way to stop the insanity coming out of Salem.  Double sugoi!

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    Yes, for this ronin, time is now the real currency.  To be a true ronin (masterless samurai), having saved money was actually saving time.
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